Wednesday, September 20, 2006

Iran

Iran’s $100 million Hezbollah proxy has become a state within a state and built a military infrastructure that even Israel’s military might could not dislodge. Iran helped create Hezbollah in the early 1980s. But does that make Hezbollah Iran’s puppet? Hezbollah, to a great extent, makes decisions independently of Iran. It is an indigenous Lebanese armed resistance group that owes its popularity to resistance to Israel, biased American policies and corrupt Lebanese politicians. Does anyone seriously believe that unarmed U.N. soldiers, or armed U.N. soldiers reluctant to challenge Hezbollah, can restore a permanent ceasefire? A determined Hezbollah backed by Iran has created a new political reality that has to be acknowledged and addressed.

Iran has re-emerged as a regional power and will continue down the bloody path it has embarked with Hezbollah if it is not recognized and treated with the respect it deserves. The West has to acknowledge that Iran is a power. It won’t back down, just like it hasn’t over the centuries, dating back to biblical times. Iran has always stood tall.

Iran is saying and doing what a majority of Iranians believe. Stand firm and proud, yet open to peaceful dialogue and diplomatic relations. America’s dismissive cavalier attitude only further endangers its geopolitical credibility in the region. The Islamic Republic knows it is long overdue for a new definition for itself that redefines its relationship with America and the West. America should assist in the spelling of the definition. China can help America and Iran craft the new co-operative arrangement.

Iran is a regional power and has to be recognized and treated as such. It won’t be bullied or relegated to secondary status. Trying to repress Iran, much like trying to repress China, is not only futile, but geopolitically counter productive. Iran is a military, economic and political regional power that has proven its ability and capability through its proxies in Lebanon and Iraq. Nevertheless, Iran knows both the propaganda and military costs are becoming rather annoying to the educated and knowledgable Iranians who are nowhere as near as apathetic as We the Maids are in America. Iran’s foreign military adventures are not popular. The money has better uses at home. Especially after “the underground moullah,” Hezbollah leader Nasrallah said, “We did not think, even 1%, that the capture would lead to a war at this time and of this magnitude. You ask me, if I had known on July 11…that the operation would lead to such a war, would I do it? I say no, absolutely not.”

Hezbollah is weakened, and the numerous other pissed off Lebanese factions are strating to squeeze them out in the footsteps of the Syrian soldiers. Even Nazrallah’s major Christian ally, Michael Aoun has called for Hezbollah to disarm. The March 14th democratic alliance movement, named for the date of their huge protest rally after the assassination in 2005 of the former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. The rally helped force Syria to end 15 years of domination of Lebanese politics. The movement is dominated by figures from U.S.-backed groups who are back in the driver’s seat, which has marginalized Hezbollah. An opportunity America should not again squander.

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